Prediction Mindset

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BOOK IN PROGRESS

Predictions shape our lives – whether it’s a weather forecast, your uncle’s warnings about the stock market, or machine learning models driving the latest tech. But predictions are much more than just numbers and algorithms; they are stories, beliefs, and tools that guide decision-making in every corner of society.

The Prediction Mindset explores predictions far beyond the realm of data science. From the successes of weather forecasting and next-token prediction in AI to astrology, biases of human intuition, and the narratives of political cycles, this book bridges the empirical with the philosophical.

Learn how to recognize predictions in everyday life, identify the assumptions and intentions behind them, and evaluate their reliability. With a blend of fun stories, pragmatic advice, and thought-provoking insights, The Prediction Mindset equips you with the tools to navigate a world full of uncertainty – and to approach the future with curiosity but also critical thinking. But it’s also a reminder to live more in the now, and embrace openness and uncertainty.

Whether you’re a data scientist, a curious thinker, or someone seeking clarity in a chaotic world, this book offers a fresh perspective on one of humanity’s most universal and intriguing behaviors – prediction.